Back to Hawaii

HB2198 • 2026

RELATING TO PREDICTION MARKETS.

RELATING TO PREDICTION MARKETS.

Active

The official status still shows this bill as active or still awaiting another formal step.

Sponsor
MATAYOSHI, AMATO, GARRETT, GRANDINETTI, ILAGAN, KAHALOA, KEOHOKAPU-LEE LOY, KILA, KUSCH, MARTEN, PERRUSO, POEPOE, TAKAYAMA, TAM, TARNAS, TEMPLO
Last action
2026-03-12
Official status
Referred to CPN/EDT, JDC/WAM.
Effective date
Not listed

Plain English Breakdown

The bill summary does not provide details on penalties for violations.

Rules about Prediction Markets

This bill updates Hawaii's gambling laws to include prediction markets involving financial products related to sports, contests, people, politics, catastrophes, and death.

What This Bill Does

  • Amends the definition of 'gambling' in Hawaii law to include predictive markets involving securities, commodities, or other similar financial products on specified events.

Who It Names or Affects

  • People who use prediction markets in Hawaii.
  • Financial institutions that deal with securities and commodities related to the specified events.

Terms To Know

Prediction Markets
A type of financial market where people buy or sell contracts based on predictions about future events.
Gambling
An activity involving risking something of value on the outcome of a contest or event not under one's control.

Limits and Unknowns

  • The bill does not specify penalties for breaking these new gambling rules.
  • It is unclear how this will affect existing financial contracts and business transactions in Hawaii.

Amendments

These notes stay tied to the official amendment files and metadata from the legislature.

HD1

1

Hawaii published version HD1

Plain English: This amendment updates Hawaii's gambling laws to include prediction markets, making it illegal to place bets on certain types of future events.

  • Adds specific categories such as catastrophe, contests, death, legislation, national security, people, politics, and sports to the definition of 'gambling'.
  • Clarifies that financial speculation related to these categories is now considered gambling under Hawaii law.
  • The amendment specifies future effective dates which may affect when changes take place.
  • Some technical details about how the new definitions will be applied in practice are not fully explained.
HD2

3

Hawaii published version HD2

Plain English: This amendment updates Hawaii's gambling laws to include prediction markets involving securities, commodities, or other financial products related to specific events such as catastrophes, contests, deaths, political actions, national security issues, people, politics, and sports.

  • Amends the definition of 'gambling' in Hawaii Revised Statutes to explicitly prohibit prediction event contracts for catastrophe, contests, death, legislation, national security, people, politics, and sports.
  • Updates the list of prohibited activities under gambling laws to include financial speculation on outcomes related to specific events.
  • The amendment specifies an unusual effective date of July 1, 3000, which may be a placeholder or error in the text provided.

Bill History

  1. 2026-03-12 S

    Referred to CPN/EDT, JDC/WAM.

  2. 2026-03-12 S

    Passed First Reading.

  3. 2026-03-12 S

    Received from House (Hse. Com. No. 377).

  4. 2026-03-10 H

    Passed Third Reading as amended in HD 2 with none voting aye with reservations; none voting no (0) and Representative(s) Pierick excused (1). Transmitted to Senate.

  5. 2026-03-06 H

    Forty-eight (48) hours notice Tuesday, 03-10-26.

  6. 2026-03-06 H

    Reported from JHA (Stand. Com. Rep. No. 1108-26) as amended in HD 2, recommending passage on Third Reading.

  7. 2026-03-03 H

    The committee on JHA recommend that the measure be PASSED, WITH AMENDMENTS. The votes were as follows: 9 Ayes: Representative(s) Tarnas, Poepoe, Belatti, Hashem, Kahaloa, Sayama, Takayama, Garcia, Shimizu; Ayes with reservations: none; Noes: none; and 1 Excused: Representative(s) Cochran.

  8. 2026-02-27 H

    Bill scheduled to be heard by JHA on Tuesday, 03-03-26 2:00PM in House conference room 325 VIA VIDEOCONFERENCE.

  9. 2026-02-13 H

    Passed Second Reading as amended in HD 1 and referred to the committee(s) on JHA with Representative(s) Gedeon voting aye with reservations; Representative(s) Alcos, Garcia, Muraoka voting no (3) and Representative(s) Chun, Kong, Kusch excused (3).

  10. 2026-02-13 H

    Reported from CPC (Stand. Com. Rep. No. 264-26) as amended in HD 1, recommending passage on Second Reading and referral to JHA.

  11. 2026-02-05 H

    The committee on CPC recommend that the measure be PASSED, WITH AMENDMENTS. The votes were as follows: 11 Ayes: Representative(s) Matayoshi, Grandinetti, Chun, Ilagan, Ichiyama, Iwamoto, Kong, Lowen, Marten, Tam, Pierick; Ayes with reservations: none; Noes: none; and Excused: none.

  12. 2026-02-03 H

    Bill scheduled to be heard by CPC on Thursday, 02-05-26 2:00PM in House conference room 329 VIA VIDEOCONFERENCE.

  13. 2026-01-30 H

    Referred to CPC, JHA, referral sheet 5

  14. 2026-01-28 H

    Introduced and Pass First Reading.

  15. 2026-01-26 H

    Pending introduction.

Official Summary Text

RELATING TO PREDICTION MARKETS.
Hawaii Penal Code; Gambling; Prediction Markets
Amends the definition of "gambling" to include predictive markets involving the purchase, sale, or financial speculation of securities, commodities, or other similar financial products on the outcome or future contingent event related to catastrophe, contests, death, legislation, national security, people, politics, and sports. Effective 7/1/3000. (HD2)

Current Bill Text

Read the full stored bill text
HB2198

HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

H.B. NO.

2198

THIRTY-THIRD LEGISLATURE, 2026

STATE OF HAWAII

A BILL FOR AN ACT

relating
to prediction markets
.

BE IT ENACTED BY THE LEGISLATURE OF THE STATE OF HAWAII:

����
SECTION 1.
�
The legislature finds that recent
developments in the consumer-focused sector of the financial market have allowed
for individuals to create financial incentives and motivations for the
occurrence of events involving athletics, politics, catastrophe, and death.
�
The legislature also finds that not only do
some or all of these types of contracts violate moral and ethical standards,
but they also prey upon a gap in Hawaii's gambling laws that permit contracts
for the purchase and sale at a future date of securities or commodities.

����
Accordingly, the purpose of this Act
is to update Hawaii's gambling laws to expressly prohibit prediction event
contracts relating to sports, contests, people, politics, catastrophe, and
death.

����
SECTION
2
.
�
Section
712-1220, Hawaii Revised Statutes, is amended by amending the definition of
"gambling" to read as follows:

����
""Gambling".
�
A person engages in gambling if he stakes or
risks something of value upon the outcome of a contest of chance or a future
contingent event not under his control or influence, upon an agreement or
understanding that he or someone else will receive something of value in the
event of a certain outcome.
�
Gambling
does not include bona fide business transactions valid under the law of
contracts, including but not limited to contracts for the purchase or sale at a
future date of securities or commodities, and agreements to compensate for loss
caused by the happening of chance, including but not limited to contracts of
indemnity or guaranty and life, health, or accident insurance[
.
]
;
provided that gambling does include the purchase, sale, or financial
speculation upon securities, commodities, or other similar financial products
where the outcome or future contingent event relates to the following:

����
(1)
�
Sports,
including an outcome that relates to a specific athletic event or non-athletic
sporting event or events within an athletic event or non-athletic sporting
event or events;

����
(2)
�
Contests,
including an outcome that relates to a game, scheme, or promotion where a prize
or something of value is awarded based on skill, merit, performance, or chance,
regardless of whether an entry fee is required;

����
(3)
�
People,
including an outcome that relates to an event or events happening to a natural
person or persons;

����
(4)
�
Politics, including
an outcome that relates to a federal, state, or county, election, or the
actions or conduct of the federal, state, or county government and its
agencies, employees, and officers;

����
(5)
�
Catastrophe, including
an outcome that relates to war, national or state emergencies, natural or
human-made disasters, acts of terrorism or violence, or public health crises; and

����
(6)
�
Death,
including an outcome that relates to death, assassination, or mass casualty
events.
"

����
SECTION 3.
�
Statutory material to be repealed is
bracketed and stricken.
�
New statutory
material is underscored.

����
SECTION 4.
�
This Act shall take effect on July 1, 2026.

INTRODUCED BY:

_____________________________

Report Title:

Gambling;
Prediction Markets

Description:

Includes
prediction markets in the definition of gambling by specifying that the purchase,
sale, or financial speculation of securities or commodities on the outcome or
future contingent events related to sports, contests, people, politics,
catastrophe, and death.

The summary description
of legislation appearing on this page is for informational purposes only and is
not legislation or evidence of legislative intent.